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Version 155

4 December 2018

This is Version 155 of the Marine Watch List. It was last updated on 4 December 2018.

Location Description Changes:

Nil

Additions/Removals:

Nil

Risk Level Changes:

Ukraine (Black Sea coast within territorial waters.) Very High 3.3 from High 3.1:  Increased risk of disruption to shipping using Ukrainian ports on the Sea of
 Azov, following Russian seizure of three Ukrainian navy vessels and temporary blocking of passage under the Strait of Azov bridge.

Risk Score Changes: 

Guinea Elevated 2.2 from Elevated 2.1: A return to frequent protests after a failed election agreement increases the risk of disruption to cargo movement and
 distribution in the port of Conakry.
Malay Peninsula (Singapore Strait in its entirety and the South China Sea bound at 4°N to the north, 1°N to the south and 106°E to the east’.) Low 0.6 from Low 0
.7: The risk score has been reduced given the sustained absence of cargo theft attacks on tankers since a less than fully successful attack in September 2017.
Russia (Black Sea coast within territorial waters.) Elevated 2.2 from Elevated 2.0: Increased risk of disruption to shipping using Russian ports on the Sea of Azov
 as a result of Russian harassment of shipping using Ukrainian ports on the Sea of Azov.


Versions: 

LocationRiskWarSeizure & ConfiscationDerelict WeaponsStrikesTerrorism
Algeria(Elevated) 1.7  Yes Yes
Argentina(Moderate) 1.5 YesYes  
Azerbaijan(Moderate) 1.1  Yes  
Bangladesh(Moderate) 1.5YesYes Yes 
Congo - Kinshasa (aka DRC)(Elevated) 1.8Yes  YesYes
Cote d'Ivoire (Ivory Coast)(Elevated) 2.3Yes  YesYes
Egypt(High) 2.7Yes  YesYes
Equatorial Guinea(Elevated) 2.3YesYes  Yes
Eritrea(Elevated) 2.1Yes    
Georgia(Elevated) 2.2YesYesYes Yes
Guinea(Elevated) 2.2   Yes 
Gulf of Aden sea area and to 65° E off the Somali coast, bound to the north by latitude 23°30 N, and bound to the south by 12°S and in the Red Sea by 14°N(High) 2.6    Yes
Gulf of Guinea, in the sea area between 4°30'W 5°8'44.274"N and 3°6'13.966"W 2°20'12.8"N in the west, and 9°46'18.636"E 2°20'12.8"N (Cameroon-Equatorial Guinea border) in the east.(Very high) 3.3    Yes
Indonesia(Elevated) 1.9YesYes Yes 
Iran(High) 2.4YesYesYes  
Iraq(Elevated) 2.2YesYesYesYesYes
Israel and the PA(High) 3.0Yes    
Jordan(Elevated) 1.8Yes   Yes
Lebanon(Very high) 3.2YesYesYesYesYes
Libya(Severe) 4.8YesYes   
Malay Peninsula (Singapore Strait in its entirety and the South China Sea bound at 4°N to the north, 1°N to the south and 106°E to the east’.)(Low) .6    Yes
Nigeria(Very high) 3.4YesYes YesYes
North Korea(High) 2.4YesYesYes  
Pakistan(Elevated) 1.6YesYes YesYes
Peru(Elevated) 1.9   Yes 
Philippines(High) 3.0Yes    
Russia: Black Sea coast within territorial waters(Elevated) 2.2   Yes 
Saudi Arabia(Elevated) 2.3Yes   Yes
Somalia(Very high) 3.7YesYesYesYesYes
South Korea(Elevated) 2.3YesYesYesYes 
Syria(High) 3.1 Yes Yes 
Uganda (Marine: Lake Albert)(High) 2.7Yes    
Ukraine: Black Sea coast within territorial waters(Very high) 3.3YesYes  Yes
Venezuela(Elevated) 2.1 Yes  Yes
Yemen(Severe) 6.3Yes YesYesYes

‘Risk’ indicates overall country risk. Subsequent columns specify whether or not there is a particular risk to cargo assets in the category quoted.

What is the Risk Scale?

6.5 And AboveExtreme
4.4 to 6.4Severe
3.2 to 4.3Very high
2.4 to 3.1High
1.6 to 2.3Elevated
0.8 to 1.5Moderate
0 to 0.7Low

The risk scale ranges from 0 - 10. The scores enable the comparison of risk between location, providing a greater degree of precision than risk bands alone (e.g. Extreme). Each risk band has been colour coded to be consistent with the system used by IHS Country Risk


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